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ADJ / Viceroy Research / 2021-10-06

Adler Group

Bond-fuelled property valuations and undisclosed related-party dealing

Fundamental ProblemsAggressive AccountingMisalignment of Management & ShareholdersFlawed Governance
-70%
price target
-92%
peak drawdown
$1.9B
value corrected
3
outcomes
Read the full report

Viceroy argued Adler's German property portfolio was systematically overvalued and that a web of undisclosed related-party transactions moved assets at prices designed to support the balance sheet rather than reflect the market.

We did not write this report. We catalogued it. The underlying research was published by Viceroy Research. The Forensic Ledger does not endorse its conclusions. Always read the original document.

The valuation loop

A leveraged property vehicle can look solvent indefinitely if it controls the marks. The research argued Adler's marks were set by transactions with parties that were not independent.

Findings

  • Development assets sold and re-sold within a related network at escalating prices
  • Net asset value per share materially above achievable disposal proceeds
  • Debt maturities dependent on continued asset-sale execution at inflated marks

The conclusion

An opaque, leveraged balance sheet with a valuation that only held while the network kept transacting.

Executive ResignationRegulatory InvestigationRestatement

subsequent events

  1. 2021-10-06
    Report published; shares and bonds fall

    “Valuations are set by transactions with parties that are anything but independent.”

  2. 2022-04-29
    Forensic review reports significant unresolved findings; auditor issues disclaimer
  3. 2022-05-13
    Board and management changes announced

Source — https://viceroyresearch.org/

Not investment advice. This dossier summarizes a third-party short report. The Forensic Ledger did not produce the underlying research and does not endorse its conclusions. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Always consult the original source and a licensed professional. See our full disclaimer and source-citation policy.

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